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Archive for November, 2009
Where Gold Prices Will Be Before Year End
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By Peter Costa
It seems like everyone is jumping on the gold train these days as more currencies continue to debase themselves. The biggest purchaser has been the central banks but more importantly the Reserve Bank of India. Less than a month ago RBI picked up 200 metric tons of gold from the IMF increasing their reserves by 50% and sending gold prices surging. Predictions for the price of gold have been anywhere from $2300.00 an ounce to $8000.00 an ounce in the next 5 years. Only time will tell where the price is going to go in 5 years but I have a good idea where it will be in the short term. Read More→
The IMF Is Driving Up Gold Prices
Posted by: | CommentsBy Peter Costa
It does not take a renowned economist or hedge fund manager to see the value of gold these days. For the last 3 months gold has consistently been breaking record highs leaving everyone in awe. As scores of individuals speak about this being a bubble in gold, I tend to differ in opinion.
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There are countless events driving up the price of gold but there is one in particular that we should observe with a watchful eye. The selling of the IMF gold reserves has contributed greatly to the recent surge in the price of gold and is only the beginning for the yellow metal.
On September 18, 2009, the Executive Board of the IMF approved the sale of 403.3 metric tons of gold (12.97 million ounces) which amounts to one-eighth of the Fund’s total holdings. China for the longest time was the likely candidate for the sale and stated that they were willing to buy up the whole amount in one swoop. In a twist that blindsided the global economy, India negotiated to buy half of the amount and over a 2 week period ended up purchasing 200 metric tons. Since this purchase has been announced the price of gold has jumped up nearly 7% in value. Rumors have been swirling around that India purchased the gold at a premium and the amount they paid is still undisclosed. The reason for the recent purchase from India was to diversify its reserves away from the US dollar which has weakened in recent months. “The US dollar in the last five month has lost 6.5% of its value and is only going to become worse” stated Ronald Fricke president of Regal Assets last week in response to the recent IMF purchase. China has already been extremely vocal about the weakening dollar and now with India steering away from the greenback a domino effect could follow. There seems to be solidarity among the central banks that it is better to cut back on currency holdings and diversify into assets like gold. As the US dollar continues to plummet the global currencies will be dragged down with it. Fiat currency has never worked as a monetary exchange and is doomed to fail. As more currencies start to lose their value the fight for gold will only escalade. Read More→
What Happened To The Banks We Bailed Out?
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By Peter Costa
Gold continues to break record highs while the economy shows no sign of recovery. Inflation is around the corner and will be unprecedented from anytime in the nation’s history. Will it be at the levels of the Wymore Republic or former Soviet Union? I sure hope not but I am not staying in the dollar to find out. There has been a lot of speculation about hyper inflation and some very congenial arguments have been made. I am on the hyper inflation train and these days I am feeling it is going to happen sooner than later. How have I come to this conclusion? The banking crisis unfolding in 2009 is all the proof I need and is rapidly becoming a never ending black hole sucking away any hope we have for dollar recovery.
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This year alone over 115 banks have declared bankruptcy and there are still over 400 banks on the troubled list which amounts to over 5% of the nation’s banks. We have already seen the 6th and 10th largest bank failures in the United States history take place this year with a combined loss of $33 billion in assets. Last Friday marked the largest one-day government seizure since the financial crisis began closing the door of 9 banks nationwide. Rumors have been swirling around for some time that Citigroup is next and that they are likely to file for Chapter 11 if the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority pulls its $7.5 billion investment. Bank of America posted a $2.2 billion loss from July through September making it the second quarterly loss in the past year. Things are extremely unsettled in the banking world and we could see it escalade into the New Year.
The most alarming data from this unfolding crisis is the current state and solvency of FDIC. In the beginning of 2009 FDIC was down to $52 billion in their insurance fund for failing banks. With over 115 bank failures this year it has nearly dried up the fund leaving less than $10 billion. With less than $10 billion, FDIC is now promising to insure over $6.3 trillion in assets. We all know that the government would never let them fail and that FDIC has the ability to borrow up to $500 billion. The problem is what that will do to the overall buying power of our dollar. The grand total of all government and FED programs aimed at absorbing or supporting bad loans has now reached $23.7 trillion. With 400 banks on the troubled list we could see this number escalade very quickly guaranteeing rapid inflation. “The banking crisis is just the tip of the ice berg and as more countries jump ship from the dollar things are going to start compounding” says Ronald Fricke president of Regal Assets in response to Friday’s bank seizures.
The banking crisis is becoming worse and more countries are jumping ship from the failing dollar. Banks have been operating on a faulty system for decades and the breaking point is near. It is safe to say that the digits in our bank accounts are nothing but digital numbers and there are not enough greenbacks in circulation to back up the number. If you have any dollars that you do not need for a couple years you owe to yourself to start preserving them now and place them in gold . Last year the dollar lost 15% of its total buying power this year the number could very well double. If we continue on this path in less than 5 years the dollar could become worthless.

