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3 Reasons Why Gold Could Hit $1300
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By Peter Costa
Gold has had an amazing year for 2009 growing as much as 20% to this date. With gold holding on strong at the $1050.00 an ounce level let’s take a look at the 3 major factors driving up the price of gold and why experts are expecting gold to hit $1300.00 an ounce by the end of the year.
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1. INFLATION: When you expand the money supply it is just as guarantee as the law of gravity that inflation will follow. Since September 2008 the money supply in the U.S. has expanded by more than $3 trillion. This money has been used for bailouts, stimulus packages and anything else the economy has demanded. We have never embellished the money supply in such an immeasurable level since the inception of the United States. To make things worse the Federal Reserve is borrowing more money than any time in the nation’s history more than the period of 1789 to 1987. The United States is 1.8 trillion over the deficit as of the end of September; this means that the U.S. is now going to need to find lenders to buy up to 3 times that amount. There are no investors out there anymore China has a $2 trillion dollar reserve and Japan has a $1.4 trillion dollar reserve and combined it is not enough for the U.S. The U.S. is being forced to buy up its own debt which is insuring that the next step will be hyper inflation .
2. U.S. DOLLAR LOOSING DOMINANCE AS WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY: Rumors have been swirling around for some time now that several countries are planning to off-load their dollar reserves and begin settling international transactions in another currency. Secret meetings have been taking place with China, Russia, Japan, France, Brazil and some of the most powerful Gulf States to plan an end to their U.S. dollar dealings for oil. Meetings have already been held by finance ministers and central bank governors in Russia, China, Japan and Brazil to work on the scheme which if they have their way will mean oil will no longer be priced in U.S. dollars. Talks have included replacing the U.S. dollar with a basket of currency including gold . According to Chinese banking sources the transitional currency in the move away from the greenback with oil will be gold.
3. CHINA: It is common knowledge that China is not very happy with the greenback and the U.S. economy. They have been very vocal this year saying at the recent G20 summit that they want to be the new world reserve currency and want to create a gold linked currency. Along with these statements they have announced that they have been secretly buying gold since 2002 increasing their reserves over 600 metric tons. In addition they are now the world’s largest producer of gold and have plans to increase their already plentiful reserves. The IMF has been selling off gold recently in an attempt to create relief for the failing U.S. dollar. The IMF is in the process of selling 403 metric tons of gold and this time around China wants to purchase the entire amount in one single swoop. China along with India are now pressuring the IMF to sell their entire reserve of gold offering to purchase the entire amount. If China wasn’t driving the price of gold up enough they are now encouraging their 1.6 billion population, to purchase gold and silver. In an attempt to encourage personal ownership of gold and silver in China they are running daily commercials on television all across the nation.
As more banks continue to fail along with rising unemployment numbers in the United States it is safe to say the money supply will continue to expand. “The banking crisis keeps compounding and with Bank of America losing $2.2 billion from July through September things are only going to get worse” stated Ronald Fricke president of Regal Assets last Friday. If we do not get a handle on the excessive expansion of the money supply we could see unprecedented inflation rendering the dollar useless.
Secret Meetings To Ditch The Dollar
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By Peter Costa
It is time to re-examine the strength of the US dollar and its dominance as the world reserve currency. Since September 2008 the printing press at the Federal Reserve has been running 24/7 printing and churning out as much money as it possibly can in hopes that the economy will recover. The repercussions for this incessant expansion of the money supply are now starting to set in with the global economy.
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During the last 12 months American federal debt has risen by 24.47% and now stands at 83.52% of GDP. FDIC will be running at a deficit for the first time since the S & L crisis in 1991. 120 bank failures (and counting) over the last two years have stripped the FDIC insurance fund of over $52 billion. If the banking crisis isn’t alarming enough the unemployment rate in the United States is now sitting at over 10% with states like Michigan and California exceeding 17%.
With the dollar weakening how does the global economy feel about the future? China has been extremely vocal lately about the green back and has been as bold to say at the recent G20 summit that they want to be the new world reserve currency. They have also announced that they have been secretly buying gold since 2002 and are moving toward a gold linked currency.
In lieu of the failing dollar rumors have been surfacing that China, Russia, Japan, Brazil and several of the most powerful Gulf States have recently been plotting to end the decades-old practice of buying and selling oil in green backs. If the talks continue and more countries join this coalition they could have their way as soon as 2018. As an American I find this extremely alarming and question the stability of our dollar. When countries are secretly meeting up to ditch the US dollar this really speaks to the value of our green back. What is even more alarming is the fact that inflation has not fully surfaced in the United States and already countries are making plans to replace the dollar. One can not help but think that this is an attempt to ditch the dollar before inflation renders it useless. Secret meetings have already been held by finance ministers and central bank governors in Russia, China, Japan and Brazil to work on the scheme, which if they have their way will mean that oil will no longer be priced in US dollars and essays have been written on that. The talks have included replacing the green back with a basket of currencies including the yuan, euro and gold. The transitional currency in the move away from dollars, according to Chinese banking sources, may be gold.
“China, Russia and many Middle East countries already have large reserves of US dollars. They want to stop them from expanding any further and are already looking to diversify in other currencies” stated Ronald Fricke president of Regal Assets last week in response to the weakening dollar. He continued to say “Indirectly gold is starting to become the new world reserve currency because globally nobody has confidence in any currency including the dollar”.
Are these sudden secret meetings a response to the already weak dollar or are they a hedge for the coming inflation? If these countries get their way and the US dollar is no longer used in the practice of buying and selling oil this could start the collapse of the green back. Truly only time will tell where things are heading but the more countries that shy away from the US dollar the closer we are moving toward a collapse in the green back. I do not advise anybody to sit around and wait for things to unfold it is time to take the appropriate steps and start protecting yourself from the inevitable before it is to late. Physical possession of gold and silver is a proven hedge against economic uncertainty and is an option I have been taking for sometime now and I urge you all to start pursuing. With gold continuing to set record highs, in less than a couple of years it may become one the scarcest metals to get a hold of as an individual investor.
